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Selected Books by Edmund Blair Bolles

  • Galileo's Commandment: 2500 Years of Great Science Writing
  • The Ice Finders: How a Poet, a Professor, and a Politician Discovered the Ice Age
  • Einstein Defiant: Genius vs Genius in the Quantum Revolution

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John Blake

Some 72,000 - 75,000 years ago, the Toba Eruption in Indonesia left a crater eighty miles long by fifty miles wide. Akin to a moderate meteor-strike, this geophysical catastrophe all but extinguished modern-day primates (evolving "Homo sapiens"). We need not adduce any fancy bio-evolutionary mechanisms: All but a few hundred breeding pairs survived, huddled behind the Central African massif crowned by Kilimanjaro on the East.

This near-eradication accounts for the human species' extraordinary genetic homogeneity: From a minuscule basis, "genetic drift" over a mere 75,000 years has necessarily been minimal. More interesting, though mankind's racial diversity may be genetically marginal, it seems that qualitative aspects outweigh mere quantitative factors.

Call "qualitative" what you will, it's not just Neanderthals and perhaps related strains that suffered in relation to Homo's rapid divergence "out of Africa", filling ecological and evolutionary niches vacated in Toba's great die-off. Above the Northern Mediterranean, more challenging environments than African savannahs apparently fostered aggressive socio-cultural, even intellectual development. Fuss and grump you may, but the historical record stands. Migration left Africa behind.

Academics unaware of determining factors beyond their blinkered specialities wax over-confident in
predictable ways. Let's just say, they ignore larger realities at peril.

The current contretemps over "global warming" is analogous to 60-year controversies attending Alfred Wegener's hypothesis of Continental Drift. Assuming continental land-masses were identical to ocean bottoms, geophysicists pooh-poohed Wegener
until the mid-1960s, when deep-ocean probes resolved that Africa had indeed split off from South America. In brief, today's missing element is deep-ocean volcanism, dating from at least 1850 but discovered worldwide (in Arctic, Indian Ocean, Pacific Rim) only since 2001.

Ocean warming drives evaporation, an air-conditioning (cooling) effect that occasions heavy atmospheric precipitation-- cold rains in summer, massive snowfalls in winter. As a volcanic effect, surging CO2 levels aggravate cooling by pyramiding warm-water evaporation. Glaciers do not move south: They land on our heads with 90-foot snowfalls, whose albedo then shifts warm-water currents like the Gulf Stream hundreds of miles south.

Bingo-- Ice Age, persisting 120,000 years. Over the last 10-million years, interglacials have lasted 12,000 years on average. We are now 12,500 years past the Younger Dryas... and there are other factors, intra-solar and cyclical from 1313 to 2113 which do not augur well.

Where once the Toba Eruption defined humanity's genetic makeup, we now face a perfectly standard Ice Age. If not our children, our grandchildren may face extinction as populations war for climate-zones still cultivable. But we ourselves will be dead, and the World thereby a better place. Tamam!
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BLOGGER: Thanks for this post. It feels like a real contribution of the sort I would love to see as a regular part of this blog.

John

http://www.bradshawfoundation.com/journey/

Interesting timeline/migration model.

There can be no doubt that the Toba eruption was a massive event that must have had a massive impact.

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